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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Bulls
99
21Pistons
79
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
41
37
27
6
5
2
1
1
0
0
6
4-4
100%
10-15
5-11
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
37
30
13
3
7
3
1
0
4
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
2-7
29%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.0
37
15
13
2
3
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
34
28
13
5
3
1
1
0
1
3
2
1-3
33%
6-11
3-7
55%
49%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
27
30
6
7
3
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
3-11
7-13
27%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
27
24
23
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
11-12
4-8
92%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
18
29
2
7
0
0
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.7
11
13
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
7
11
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
3
0
0-0
38%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.1
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
39
29
10
11
0
2
1
0
2
4
7
0-2
0%
5-10
4-7
50%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
34
32
13
11
3
0
1
1
4
2
9
0-4
0%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
1-4
25%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
33
36
12
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
42%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
22
32
5
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
5-11
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
19
28
0
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
29
29
25
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
7-8
88%
9-14
4-10
64%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
22
19
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
15
13
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.7
11
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
8
8
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
4
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
2
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.6
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.