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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hawks30%10084
4Rockets70%107113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
33
15
14
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
38%
4-7
57%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
33
30
14
8
2
2
1
2
2
1
7
0-0
-
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
26
27
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.8
26
28
16
5
2
2
1
1
3
0
5
3-5
60%
5-9
5-9
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
25
32
4
2
6
1
1
1
3
0
2
4-4
100%
0-4
5-11
0%
46%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
33
8
13
3
3
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.2
27
5
6
1
5
2
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.4
22
16
9
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.7
9
16
4
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.7
6
4
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.7
31
1
1-3
46%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.6
13
0
1-3
45%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
8
0
1-1
45%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
37
35
14
5
4
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
4-8
80%
56%
2-6
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
33
34
7
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
26
30
11
8
4
2
1
1
2
3
5
3-8
38%
4-6
5-9
67%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
24
27
14
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
4
30
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.9
33
17
21
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
1-2
75%
47%
3-6
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
27
15
21
2
4
2
0
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
26
20
9
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
20
16
10
9
2
0
0
1
1
2
7
2-3
67%
4-7
1-3
57%
54%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
4
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
54%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
4
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
16
1
2-4
51%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
59%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.