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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
88
2Thunder
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
38
23
14
10
2
4
1
0
1
3
7
1-2
50%
5-13
3-6
38%
56%
1-5
20%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
34
25
16
2
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
6-14
5-10
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
29
24
11
8
0
1
1
2
3
2
6
1-2
50%
5-14
5-10
36%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
26
21
4
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-4
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
25
17
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
25
20
12
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
1-5
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
19
24
10
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
17
20
6
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-3
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
14
20
9
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
12
16
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.6
2
13
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
0
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
10
0
1-3
46%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
38
32
24
13
4
0
1
0
6
0
13
3-3
100%
9-18
5-10
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
38
30
17
11
2
1
0
5
0
2
9
3-4
75%
7-15
5-10
47%
54%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
32
33
6
3
8
2
2
0
2
0
3
2-4
50%
2-11
6-14
18%
46%
0-5
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
28
26
6
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.0
17
20
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.6
26
24
23
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
9-12
3-6
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
20
22
12
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-6
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.1
19
12
0
3
2
1
0
1
2
3
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.4
12
22
2
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.3
10
12
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
12
0
2-3
46%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
8
0
1-1
44%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.8
3
0
0-0
53%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.