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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat60%10290
12Raptors40%9883
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
36.5
34.3
27
69%
6
3
1
1
1
3
1
5
4-6
67%
7-12
7-12
58%
57%
3-5
60%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.9
34.5
33.3
22
60%
7
6
4
2
0
5
1
6
4-5
80%
9-16
7-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.5
28.4
26.4
6
38%
2
8
3
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.7
20.5
28.2
4
33%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
17.4
19.3
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
23.6
22.2
7
44%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
48%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
19.6
25.1
5
42%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
18.8
17.4
5
64%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
18.6
18.1
3
38%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
1-4
25%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
13.6
20.8
7
117%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
8.7
4.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.2
4.0
0
0-0
36%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.9
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
44.0
37.1
25
54%
7
3
1
1
1
3
1
6
3-7
43%
8-13
6-14
62%
46%
2-7
29%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
43.0
35.9
15
64%
4
6
2
2
0
7
1
3
4-4
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
44%
3-8
38%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
39.7
31.6
21
44%
11
3
0
1
2
3
2
9
2-7
29%
8-18
6-13
44%
45%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
17.9
25.0
4
69%
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
16.3
29.1
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
25.0
18.3
8
55%
12
1
1
0
0
1
5
7
8-12
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
23.3
21.8
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-5
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
16.8
18.4
3
30%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
1-5
20%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
5.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
5.0
8.3
3
50%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.1
3.9
9.6
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.1
4.5
0
0-0
40%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.