Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Heat	61%	102	90	92.8	97	100.6
	12	Raptors	39%	98	83	86.5	96	92.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	36.5	27	68%	6	3	1	1	3	2	1	5	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	34.5	22	61%	7	6	4	0	5	4	1	6	4-5	80%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	28.4	6	38%	2	8	3	1	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	20.5	4	33%	5	1	1	0	1	6	0	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	17.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	23.6	7	44%	0	4	0	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	19.6	5	42%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	18.8	5	63%	4	1	0	2	0	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	18.6	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	13.6	7	117%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	8.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Roger Mason Jr. #21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	36	24	10	4	19	0	3	33	9-13	69%	27-54	50%	9-22	41%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	36.5	27	68%	6	3	1	1	3	2	1	5	4-6	67%	7-12	58%	3-5	60%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	34.5	22	61%	7	6	4	0	5	4	1	6	4-5	80%	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	28.4	6	38%	2	8	3	1	3	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-7	29%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	20.5	4	33%	5	1	1	0	1	6	0	5	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	17.4	2	33%	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	23.6	7	44%	0	4	0	0	3	4	0	0	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	19.6	5	42%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	18.8	5	63%	4	1	0	2	0	3	0	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	18.6	3	38%	2	1	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	13.6	7	117%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	8.7	2	50%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Roger Mason Jr. #21 · G · 6'5" 205 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	36	24	10	4	19	0	3	33	9-13	69%	27-54	50%	9-22	41%

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12 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 24	44.0	25	54%	7	3	1	1	3	1	1	6	3-7	43%	8-13	62%	2-7	29%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 28	43.0	15	63%	4	6	2	0	7	5	1	3	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-8	38%
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.7	21	44%	11	3	0	2	3	3	2	9	2-7	29%	8-18	44%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	17.9	4	67%	3	1	1	1	2	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 27	16.3	2	50%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 28	25.0	8	50%	12	1	1	0	1	3	5	7	8-12	67%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23	23.3	0	0%	4	0	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-5	0%
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 30	16.8	3	30%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25	5.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dwight Buycks G · 6'3" 190 · 25	5.0	3	50%	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 23	3.9	2	50%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Austin Daye #5 · F · 6'11" 220 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Aaron Gray #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	45%	43	16	8	5	17	0	10	33	19-32	59%	20-43	47%	8-30	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.03 51.7%

TOR

0.90 45.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

21

31

68%

TOR

9

21

43%

Midrange

MIA

6

23

26%

TOR

11

22

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

9

13.5

22

41%

61%

TOR

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

Free Throws

MIA

9

13

69%

TOR

19

32

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	27	68%	13.5 / 20
D. Wade	22	61%	11.0 / 18
R. Allen	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Beasley	7	117%	3.5 / 3
M. Chalmers	6	38%	3.0 / 8
N. Cole	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Andersen	5	63%	2.5 / 4
C. Bosh	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Lewis	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Battier	2	33%	1.0 / 3
U. Haslem	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	54%	12.5 / 23
R. Gay	21	44%	10.5 / 24
K. Lowry	15	63%	7.5 / 12
T. Hansbrough	8	50%	4.0 / 8
J. Valančiūnas	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Novak	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Buycks	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
Q. Acy	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Ross	0	-	0.0 / 5
L. Fields	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 110.7 10 108.7	MIA 92.8 +6.3 TOR 86.5
Pace	26 91.5 23 92.0	MIA 100.6 +7.8 TOR 92.7
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.8 5 16.1	MIA 14.3 −1.2 TOR 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.4% 15 49.8%	MIA 53.3% +9.5% TOR 43.8%
TO %	20 15.4% 9 14.4%	MIA 19.7% TOR 19.4% −0.3%
ORB %	29 20.6% 9 27.2%	MIA 8.3% TOR 23.3% +15.0%
FTrt	9 30.0 6 30.6	MIA 17.1 TOR 43.8 +26.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.8% 16 58.1%	MIA 66.7% +9.6% TOR 57.1%
STL %	1 9.7% 25 7.6%	MIA 10.3% +2.0% TOR 8.3%
BLK %	11 8.1% 22 6.9%	MIA 9.3% TOR 9.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.5% 13 53.0%	MIA 51.7% +6.6% TOR 45.1%
Rim FG%	1 66.7% 20 57.5%	MIA 67.7% +24.8% TOR 42.9%
Mid FG%	1 42.8% 19 38.7%	MIA 26.1% TOR 50.0% +23.9%
3P %	12 36.4% 9 37.2%	MIA 40.9% +14.2% TOR 26.7%
FT %	15 76.0% 5 78.3%	MIA 69.2% +9.8% TOR 59.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.3% 25 33.3%	MIA 40.8% +12.0% TOR 28.8%
Mid Att. %	4 32.5% 16 38.2%	MIA 30.3% TOR 30.1% −0.1%
3P Att. %	6 29.2% 11 28.5%	MIA 28.9% TOR 41.1% +12.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	MIA	TOR
Possessions	97	96
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	90	83
Rebounds	36	43
Assists	24	16
Steals	10	8
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	17 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (5)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	33 (0)
Field Goals	36-76	28-73
At-the-Rim FG	21-31	9-21
Midrange FG	6-23	11-22
2-Point FG	27-54	20-43
3-Point FG	9-22	8-30
Free Throws	9-13	19-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg