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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Cavaliers41%9786
24Celtics59%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.7
36.2
31.6
17
46%
3
3
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-6
50%
7-12
6-13
58%
47%
0-4
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.7
25.3
24.4
2
17%
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.1
15.2
15.5
1
27%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.1
15.1
20.2
4
29%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
52%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
12.3
15.5
6
60%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
34.5
28.3
21
50%
4
6
1
1
0
6
2
2
6-7
86%
6-13
4-9
46%
44%
1-5
20%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.2
26.0
23.0
10
48%
12
0
2
1
1
1
5
7
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
51%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.1
22.0
30.3
9
48%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.7
19.7
4.5
4
41%
4
1
0
0
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.9
12.1
23.1
1
9%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.2
12.1
14.3
7
122%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
2-2
100%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
5.6
4.8
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.3
3.9
2.9
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.7
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
38.4
35.1
31
63%
5
2
0
1
0
4
1
4
9-13
69%
8-15
5-9
53%
50%
2-4
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.0
35.1
26.7
21
95%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-7
4-9
86%
48%
3-4
75%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.1
32.6
31.4
11
37%
11
10
1
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-6
17%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
29.9
30.1
12
68%
8
4
1
1
2
1
1
7
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.7
25.3
30.2
12
67%
4
3
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
5-9
0%
52%
4-5
80%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
21.9
12.7
6
34%
9
0
1
0
2
1
2
7
2-4
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
18.1
14.6
9
70%
4
1
0
0
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.8
15.0
9.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
14.7
23.3
1
17%
1
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.5
7.2
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.8
1.9
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
13.6
1
2-3
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.6
8.6
0
1-2
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.