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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets33%98112
2Spurs67%104106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
40
32
25
3
5
2
1
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
5-13
3-6
38%
53%
4-8
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
37
20
31
7
6
1
1
1
3
1
6
8-13
62%
7-14
2-5
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
37
29
11
6
5
3
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
3-5
60%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
35
24
13
11
1
0
1
0
2
2
9
5-8
63%
4-6
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
31
26
10
16
1
1
1
0
2
4
12
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
17
22
8
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-3
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
16
23
3
2
4
3
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.9
14
24
8
3
0
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
13
20
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
13
1
1-3
47%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
8
0
0-1
42%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
6
0
1-2
48%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
2
0
0-0
53%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
38
29
27
6
8
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
13-25
6-11
52%
52%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
33
25
20
8
3
1
1
3
2
1
7
4-5
80%
8-12
5-10
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
29
26
6
4
1
2
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
57%
0-3
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
25
22
7
2
1
3
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-5
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
11
20
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
27
22
18
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
4-6
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
27
21
9
1
11
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
23
13
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
17
21
6
3
0
0
1
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
10
20
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
14
0
2-3
46%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
13
0
2-3
49%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
7
0
1-2
48%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.