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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
December 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pelicans32%96131
14Bulls68%103128
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
56.5
31.4
36
81%
6
0
0
1
1
1
4
2
5-5
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
7-11
64%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
49.2
35.3
19
42%
8
12
1
1
1
2
3
5
1-1
100%
9-20
5-11
45%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
47.0
23.9
12
35%
14
1
0
0
1
1
7
7
0-0
-
6-17
4-8
35%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
45.0
33.0
23
43%
7
3
3
1
0
2
2
5
7-8
88%
5-17
4-9
29%
45%
2-6
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
40.6
13.8
14
60%
9
1
3
1
0
1
5
4
1-4
25%
5-9
1-3
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.2
24.2
31.1
13
57%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
18.6
14.9
8
58%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
15.4
5.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.0
13.8
13.4
4
52%
0
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.7
4.7
2.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
5.7
0
0-1
40%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 30.5
5.6
0
0-1
50%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
3.9
0
0-0
42%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.6
55.6
37.8
37
58%
8
7
0
1
0
7
2
6
7-11
64%
15-26
6-12
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 32.9
53.1
33.2
13
38%
6
11
2
1
0
3
1
5
5-5
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-8
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
50.4
32.9
19
67%
10
4
0
1
1
3
4
6
3-5
60%
8-12
4-8
67%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.0
26.5
28.8
4
33%
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
6-12
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.1
22.3
27.3
6
75%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
2-4
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.2
48.0
23.2
23
71%
7
5
2
0
0
2
0
7
3-5
60%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
6-10
60%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
44.5
24.2
26
58%
14
0
0
0
5
0
7
7
6-8
75%
10-19
4-9
53%
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.4
9.9
6.7
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.2
4.7
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.8
0.1
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.2
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.