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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 2, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks
100
3Spurs
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.8
38
32
15
14
3
2
1
1
2
4
10
1-1
100%
4-14
5-10
29%
49%
2-6
33%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
37
31
17
8
2
2
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
37
31
19
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-9
5-11
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
35
33
18
7
3
2
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
9-16
7-13
56%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
27
16
10
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
42%
0-6
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.0
20
24
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
38%
2-5
40%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.6
20
17
7
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.7
13
7
6
4
0
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.4
10
13
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
3
16
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.7
7
0
1-2
49%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.2
7
0
1-2
38%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
6
0
0-1
42%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.7
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.5
37
32
15
0
7
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
6-10
7-14
60%
52%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
35
27
23
21
2
1
1
2
3
6
15
3-4
75%
10-15
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
24
19
11
5
3
1
1
2
4
1
4
1-1
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
57%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
23
23
3
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
22
27
4
5
1
1
2
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
58%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
30
17
16
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
6-7
2-4
86%
57%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
25
23
13
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
46%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.3
23
23
10
4
7
0
1
1
1
0
4
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
15
16
6
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
7
9
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
0
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
10
0
1-2
48%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
5
0
1-1
49%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.