Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	18	Hawks	23%	96	100	104.2	96	102.1
	1	Spurs	77%	106	102	105.2	97	91.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	38.3	15	38%	14	3	2	1	2	2	4	10	1-1	100%	4-14	29%	2-6	33%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	36.9	17	77%	8	2	2	0	1	3	4	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	36.7	19	63%	3	7	1	0	3	3	0	3	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	3-4	75%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.2	18	56%	7	3	2	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.3	10	36%	0	4	1	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-6	0%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	19.9	6	43%	1	0	1	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	19.7	7	50%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	12.6	6	75%	4	0	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	9.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	3.4	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	\|
Kyle Korver #26 · G · 6'7" 212 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	39	22	10	2	10	0	10	29	5-5	100%	31-65	48%	11-31	35%

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18 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	38.3	15	38%	14	3	2	1	2	2	4	10	1-1	100%	4-14	29%	2-6	33%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	36.9	17	77%	8	2	2	0	1	3	4	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 25	36.7	19	63%	3	7	1	0	3	3	0	3	4-4	100%	3-9	33%	3-4	75%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 27	35.2	18	56%	7	3	2	0	0	0	2	5	0-0	-	9-16	56%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	27.3	10	36%	0	4	1	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-6	0%

Cartier Martin F · 6'7" 220 · 29	19.9	6	43%	1	0	1	0	1	5	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	19.7	7	50%	0	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-2	50%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	12.6	6	75%	4	0	1	0	2	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 25	9.8	0	0%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 23	3.4	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31	\|
Kyle Korver #26 · G · 6'7" 212 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	39	22	10	2	10	0	10	29	5-5	100%	31-65	48%	11-31	35%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	36.7	15	68%	0	7	0	0	4	1	0	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	34.6	23	68%	21	2	1	2	3	0	6	15	3-4	75%	10-15	67%	0-0	-
Tiago Splitter C · 6'11" 245 · 29	23.9	11	61%	5	3	1	2	4	1	1	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 26	22.5	3	21%	4	1	0	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 22	22.3	4	29%	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32	29.9	16	80%	2	3	1	1	0	0	0	2	1-2	50%	6-7	86%	1-2	50%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28	25.0	13	72%	4	3	2	0	2	0	0	4	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	22.9	10	50%	4	7	0	1	1	4	0	4	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	14.8	6	60%	2	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	7.2	1	50%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nando De Colo #25 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	48	27	6	8	17	0	9	39	12-17	71%	36-60	60%	6-18	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.99 49.5%

SAS

1.15 57.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

17

30

57%

SAS

19

27

70%

Midrange

ATL

14

35

40%

SAS

17

33

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

11

16.5

31

35%

53%

SAS

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

5

100%

SAS

12

17

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Teague	19	63%	9.5 / 15
A. Horford	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Carroll	17	77%	8.5 / 11
P. Millsap	15	38%	7.5 / 20
L. Williams	10	36%	5.0 / 14
S. Mack	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Martin	6	43%	3.0 / 7
E. Brand	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Jenkins	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Scott	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	23	68%	11.5 / 17
B. Diaw	16	80%	8.0 / 10
T. Parker	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Belinelli	13	72%	6.5 / 9
T. Splitter	11	61%	5.5 / 9
M. Ginobili	10	50%	5.0 / 10
P. Mills	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Leonard	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Green	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Ayres	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 7 110.3	ATL 104.2 SAS 105.2 +1.0
Pace	11 95.0 10 95.2	ATL 102.1 +10.6 SAS 91.5
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 20 15.1	ATL 14.1 −1.6 SAS 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 2 53.7%	ATL 49.5% SAS 57.7% +8.2%
TO %	17 15.2% 12 14.7%	ATL 9.2% −9.0% SAS 18.2%
ORB %	28 21.0% 24 22.8%	ATL 20.4% SAS 23.7% +3.3%
FTrt	21 26.6 30 24.0	ATL 5.2 SAS 21.8 +16.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 5 62.1%	ATL 52.4% SAS 64.3% +11.9%
STL %	9 8.7% 19 7.7%	ATL 10.4% +4.2% SAS 6.2%
BLK %	28 6.5% 17 7.7%	ATL 3.3% SAS 12.3% +9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 2 56.0%	ATL 49.5% SAS 57.3% +7.8%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 3 63.1%	ATL 56.7% SAS 70.4% +13.7%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 12 40.6%	ATL 40.0% SAS 51.5% +11.5%
3P %	13 36.3% 1 39.7%	ATL 35.5% +2.2% SAS 33.3%
FT %	6 78.1% 4 78.6%	ATL 100.0% +29.4% SAS 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 12 36.5%	ATL 31.3% SAS 34.6% +3.4%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 13 37.8%	ATL 36.5% −5.8% SAS 42.3%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 16 25.7%	ATL 32.3% +9.2% SAS 23.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Game Totals	ATL	SAS
Possessions	96	97
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	100	102
Rebounds	39	48
Assists	22	27
Steals	10	6
Blocks	2	8
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	9 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	39 (2)
Field Goals	42-96	42-78
At-the-Rim FG	17-30	19-27
Midrange FG	14-35	17-33
2-Point FG	31-65	36-60
3-Point FG	11-31	6-18
Free Throws	5-5	12-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg