Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Pistons	24%	97	107	109.2	98	92.2
	4	Heat	76%	107	97	100.0	97	103.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	43.6	15	68%	4	5	4	0	7	1	0	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 28	39.1	15	34%	4	4	2	1	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	7-17	41%	0-4	0%
Greg Monroe F · 6'11" 265 · 23	37.1	16	73%	6	5	1	2	3	3	1	5	0-2	0%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 20	22.6	10	50%	18	0	2	1	0	6	8	10	2-6	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 21	19.6	10	63%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 28	32.7	16	62%	2	3	0	0	5	3	0	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 26	26.6	18	82%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 27	9.9	7	70%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25	8.6	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Siva G · 6'0" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Mitchell · 6'8" 216 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum #12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chauncey Billups #1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	46	21	11	5	18	0	13	33	18-26	69%	34-64	53%	7-16	44%

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20 Detroit Pistons

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 24	43.6	15	68%	4	5	4	0	7	1	0	4	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 28	39.1	15	34%	4	4	2	1	3	3	0	4	1-2	50%	7-17	41%	0-4	0%
Greg Monroe F · 6'11" 265 · 23	37.1	16	73%	6	5	1	2	3	3	1	5	0-2	0%	8-10	80%	0-0	-
Andre Drummond C · 6'11" 279 · 20	22.6	10	50%	18	0	2	1	0	6	8	10	2-6	33%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G · 6'5" 204 · 21	19.6	10	63%	4	2	1	0	0	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Rodney Stuckey G · 6'5" 205 · 28	32.7	16	62%	2	3	0	0	5	3	0	2	8-8	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Kyle Singler F · 6'8" 228 · 26	26.6	18	82%	5	2	1	0	0	1	2	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	4-7	57%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 27	9.9	7	70%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 25	8.6	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Peyton Siva G · 6'0" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gigi Datome F · 6'8" 215 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Mitchell · 6'8" 216 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Will Bynum #12 · G · 6'0" 185 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chauncey Billups #1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	46	21	11	5	18	0	13	33	18-26	69%	34-64	53%	7-16	44%

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4 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	37.0	23	64%	5	6	2	1	6	2	3	2	5-8	63%	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	32.0	14	50%	6	0	1	0	2	5	2	4	4-6	67%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	29.4	6	38%	2	6	1	0	4	1	0	2	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	15.4	2	20%	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
James Jones G · 6'8" 218 · 33	11.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%

Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	30.9	23	68%	4	1	1	0	1	1	2	2	2-3	67%	6-13	46%	3-3	100%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	29.0	12	60%	4	1	1	0	3	2	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-4	50%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	26.4	9	56%	1	2	2	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	16.0	8	57%	4	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	12.7	0	0%	6	1	1	2	0	3	0	6	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dwyane Wade #3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	52%	34	19	12	3	19	0	13	21	16-23	70%	27-54	50%	9-28	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DET	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	DET	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET

1.07 53.5%

MIA

1.04 52.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DET

24

37

65%

MIA

21

34

62%

Midrange

DET

10

27

37%

MIA

6

20

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DET

7

10.5

16

44%

66%

MIA

9

13.5

28

32%

48%

Free Throws

DET

18

26

69%

MIA

16

23

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Pistons

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Singler	18	82%	9.0 / 11
G. Monroe	16	73%	8.0 / 11
R. Stuckey	16	62%	8.0 / 13
B. Jennings	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Smith	15	34%	7.5 / 22
A. Drummond	10	50%	5.0 / 10
K. Caldwell-Pope	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Jerebko	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. Harrellson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	23	64%	11.5 / 18
M. Beasley	23	68%	11.5 / 17
C. Bosh	14	50%	7.0 / 14
R. Allen	12	60%	6.0 / 10
N. Cole	9	56%	4.5 / 8
C. Andersen	8	57%	4.0 / 7
M. Chalmers	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Battier	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 106.2 4 110.7	DET 109.2 +9.2 MIA 100.0
Pace	12 94.7 26 91.5	DET 92.2 MIA 103.5 +11.2
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.2 9 15.8	DET 15.6 MIA 13.9 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 48.2% 1 55.4%	DET 55.6% +6.2% MIA 49.4%
TO %	11 14.7% 20 15.4%	DET 19.4% MIA 17.1% −2.3%
ORB %	1 31.4% 29 20.6%	DET 38.2% +9.9% MIA 28.3%
FTrt	11 29.6 9 30.0	DET 32.5 +4.5 MIA 28.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 53.9% 13 58.8%	DET 51.2% MIA 52.8% +1.6%
STL %	7 8.8% 1 9.7%	DET 11.2% MIA 12.4% +1.2%
BLK %	12 8.0% 11 8.1%	DET 9.3% +4.6% MIA 4.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	27 50.3% 1 57.5%	DET 53.5% +1.3% MIA 52.2%
Rim FG%	18 57.6% 1 66.7%	DET 64.9% +3.1% MIA 61.8%
Mid FG%	30 35.4% 1 42.8%	DET 37.0% +7.0% MIA 30.0%
3P %	29 32.1% 12 36.4%	DET 43.8% +11.7% MIA 32.1%
FT %	30 67.0% 15 76.0%	DET 69.2% MIA 69.6% +0.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 45.0% 9 38.3%	DET 46.3% +4.8% MIA 41.5%
Mid Att. %	5 32.8% 4 32.5%	DET 33.8% MIA 24.4% −9.4%
3P Att. %	26 22.2% 6 29.2%	DET 20.0% MIA 34.1% +14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.89 and 2.89.

Game Totals	DET	MIA
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	107	97
Rebounds	46	34
Assists	21	19
Steals	11	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (4)	19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (7)	13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	21 (1)
Field Goals	41-80	36-82
At-the-Rim FG	24-37	21-34
Midrange FG	10-27	6-20
2-Point FG	34-64	27-54
3-Point FG	7-16	9-28
Free Throws	18-26	16-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg