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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
December 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bucks31%93109
19Wizards69%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.3
47.2
24.2
29
62%
7
2
2
1
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
7-15
3-5
47%
47%
4-7
57%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 22.9
45.4
27.1
19
78%
17
4
0
1
1
1
5
12
3-5
60%
8-10
5-10
80%
48%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.1
39.2
27.2
17
48%
0
3
1
1
0
4
0
0
2-4
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.0
32.9
24.4
20
51%
6
6
3
1
0
4
1
5
7-8
88%
5-12
3-6
42%
42%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
27.8
25.0
7
36%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.5
32.6
24.6
7
64%
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.0
19.6
19.7
6
47%
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-1
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-2
0%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.6
17.0
6.8
4
25%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
1-2
25%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.8
3.3
21.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.2
19.5
0
2-5
42%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 29.8
15.0
0
2-3
46%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 33.7
8.0
0
1-2
44%
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
2.4
0
0-0
47%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.0
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.2
47.5
33.2
30
52%
3
8
2
2
3
5
0
3
12-13
92%
9-18
6-12
50%
47%
0-5
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.4
46.2
30.9
22
75%
12
4
4
2
2
3
0
12
5-6
83%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
5-10
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
39.2
32.2
14
69%
8
0
1
1
2
2
2
6
6-7
86%
4-7
5-9
57%
56%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.2
24.9
28.1
10
51%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-4
0%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.0
12.0
35.8
8
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.0
33.3
15.5
7
30%
8
2
3
1
0
2
6
2
4-4
100%
0-6
1-3
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
25.7
10.9
9
52%
9
2
0
0
1
0
4
5
3-6
50%
3-6
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.6
16.2
18.1
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.5
14.2
23.7
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.5
4.5
12.5
3
34%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.6
1.0
9.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 22.9
0.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.8
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.0
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.