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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
December 6, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder63%108109
18Pelicans37%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.2
37.9
35.3
17
55%
13
0
1
0
3
3
3
10
7-8
88%
5-12
6-12
42%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
36.1
38.4
29
76%
8
4
2
1
3
2
0
8
5-5
100%
9-12
7-14
75%
53%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
33.6
31.4
25
66%
1
4
4
2
0
4
0
1
6-7
86%
5-8
6-13
63%
47%
3-8
38%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
26.6
21.6
9
77%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
1-3
80%
51%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.1
14.7
17.2
2
50%
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.6
29.4
27.0
15
54%
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.1
24.3
16.6
6
48%
2
1
0
0
2
3
0
2
2-5
40%
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.5
14.5
22.9
2
20%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.3
13.5
11.3
4
82%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-2
50%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
5.4
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.4
4.0
13.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
4.0
0
1-1
49%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.8
2.5
0
0-0
56%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
38.5
36.8
18
44%
4
2
2
1
1
2
3
1
7-8
88%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
1-6
17%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
35.4
25.0
7
24%
10
3
0
1
0
2
5
5
1-2
50%
3-13
3-6
23%
48%
0-1
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.9
33.8
33.5
16
52%
1
3
1
1
1
3
0
1
1-3
33%
6-13
5-10
46%
46%
1-1
100%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
32.9
35.1
16
56%
8
6
4
1
0
5
4
4
4-5
80%
6-10
5-12
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
24.2
30.5
4
23%
12
1
0
1
0
0
1
11
0-2
0%
2-8
5-11
25%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
19.1
12.6
10
69%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.2
12.9
24.6
11
54%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.0
12.4
11.9
9
92%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
9.0
2.2
2
53%
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
8.1
8.9
2
33%
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.3
5.8
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
5.4
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 30.5
2.5
2.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.