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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 7, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Pacers
111
2Spurs
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
37
37
28
4
6
0
2
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
47%
4-4
100%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
36
33
15
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-4
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
34
31
20
8
4
3
1
2
0
1
7
2-3
67%
9-12
5-12
75%
47%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.0
27
33
12
10
3
0
0
1
1
3
7
6-6
100%
3-4
5-11
75%
46%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.6
27
33
12
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.6
28
16
12
10
0
1
0
0
4
1
9
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
24
18
12
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
7-8
88%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-3
33%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.7
16
14
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.1
7
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.7
2
0
0-0
46%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.5
0
0
0-0
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.4
37
25
18
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
55%
2-4
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
26
33
13
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-13
7-13
38%
50%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
26
29
10
6
4
0
1
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-10
6-12
30%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
17
23
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
8
21
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.6
26
21
6
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
55%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
21
16
10
5
6
3
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-7
43%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
20
10
8
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
19
24
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
19
23
16
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
4-6
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
9
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
6
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
6
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.