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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Sunday
December 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat52%102110
15Pistons48%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
35.0
32.7
24
70%
7
9
2
1
0
6
1
6
4-5
80%
10-13
6-11
77%
57%
0-2
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
32.3
24.5
8
51%
3
4
3
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.7
31.4
26.5
16
55%
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
6-6
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
0-4
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
24.5
22.8
18
77%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.2
20.3
18.3
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
23.5
8.3
12
86%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
4-7
57%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
23.4
14.5
10
85%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
60%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
22.8
21.6
9
90%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
15.7
27.2
8
68%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
8.4
10.4
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.2
2.8
5.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
37%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
22.4
0
4-9
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
1.9
0
0-0
52%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
36.0
29.6
19
70%
14
0
2
1
2
1
8
6
3-6
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
59%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
33.6
39.5
19
56%
4
6
2
2
0
6
0
4
6-7
86%
5-10
4-10
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
30.9
35.6
13
46%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
28.9
33.2
10
41%
7
1
2
1
0
2
4
3
4-5
80%
3-10
5-11
30%
50%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
18.5
29.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
20.7
8.0
12
67%
3
1
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
51%
2-2
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
20.4
22.2
10
87%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
14.4
4.8
2
33%
2
4
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
14.1
2.5
10
63%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
2-6
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
11.3
9.2
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
7.9
1.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
3.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
20.9
1
3-7
46%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.