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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Sunday
December 8, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Raptors48%104106
19Lakers52%10594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
41.3
38.3
26
55%
5
5
3
1
2
2
0
5
10-11
91%
8-16
6-14
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
36.6
37.4
23
74%
5
8
3
2
0
3
1
4
6-6
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
45%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
35.6
28.7
32
85%
10
1
2
1
2
3
4
6
4-4
100%
14-16
4-7
88%
57%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.4
30.9
11.3
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
28.2
27.6
5
36%
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
28.1
12.8
11
56%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-5
40%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
27.9
16.1
3
17%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
1-9
11%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
11.4
12.5
6
100%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
32.7
1
6-13
45%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
4.2
0
0-1
43%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
2.2
0
0-0
49%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.1
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.8
30.3
34.5
3
25%
3
4
0
1
0
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.3
27.9
32.6
9
37%
8
4
2
1
0
8
1
7
5-7
71%
2-6
5-11
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
24.7
29.4
2
33%
3
2
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
24.5
31.5
7
29%
8
2
0
0
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-11
6-13
27%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.5
9.9
15.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
35.3
31.3
14
58%
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
29.9
27.7
19
55%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
2-7
29%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
23.3
23.2
10
83%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
2-4
50%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.4
20.0
16.8
11
76%
8
1
0
0
1
1
3
5
5-5
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.7
14.1
17.7
17
91%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
44%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
7.4
0
1-2
47%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.6
3.7
0
1-2
49%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.