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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat48%9784
6Pacers52%9890
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 28.9
39
33
17
14
6
2
1
0
5
1
13
4-6
67%
5-12
6-11
42%
55%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.9
35
33
17
6
6
3
2
0
1
1
5
5-6
83%
6-13
6-13
46%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.7
32
28
12
3
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
28
27
9
3
2
2
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.3
15
19
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
1-6
17%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
26
23
3
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
23
23
9
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.3
21
22
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.4
21
17
10
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.2
13
0
1-2
41%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
10
0
1-2
47%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.2
4
0
0-0
35%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.9
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
42
36
17
3
4
2
2
0
6
0
3
6-6
100%
1-5
6-11
20%
49%
3-6
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.0
37
28
24
5
0
0
0
1
1
2
3
4-6
67%
10-15
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
34
31
12
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-1
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
32
30
17
9
4
0
1
0
7
2
7
5-6
83%
6-8
5-11
75%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.6
30
30
5
8
6
2
1
0
1
2
6
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
20
16
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.6
18
18
6
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.6
16
20
7
6
1
0
0
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.1
11
14
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.7
5
0
0-0
49%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.7
4
0
0-1
49%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
4
0
0-1
44%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.