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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
116
21Raptors
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
29
31
8
7
4
1
2
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
57%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
28
29
15
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-15
6-12
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
26
19
14
3
2
1
1
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.6
24
27
14
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
2-5
40%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
9
9
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
23
21
12
1
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
23
20
16
5
9
1
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
4-7
57%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
21
6
14
6
1
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
7-9
1-2
78%
48%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
18
24
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.3
16
19
11
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
3-4
75%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
8
7
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
7
16
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
7
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 28.9
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.8
38
20
14
4
1
0
1
1
5
1
3
2-2
100%
0-6
2-4
0%
46%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
32
36
11
7
7
1
2
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-7
43%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.3
30
39
19
0
7
0
1
1
2
0
0
7-7
100%
6-14
6-14
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
28
31
19
9
0
0
1
1
1
3
6
1-2
50%
9-10
4-8
90%
56%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
28
27
14
4
2
0
0
0
4
2
2
2-2
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
28
21
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-3
67%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
19
20
4
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
18
3
10
5
3
3
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-8
0-1
38%
41%
1-1
100%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
14
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
1-3
0-0
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
4
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.7
23
1
2-5
48%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.5
15
1
1-2
44%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.9
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.0
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.