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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 10, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Timberwolves47%104121
19Pistons53%10594
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 27.9
33
36
18
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
7-14
7-13
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.9
30
34
18
2
1
4
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.3
30
16
26
16
7
0
0
0
4
6
10
10-10
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
48%
4-6
67%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.1
28
28
15
4
9
2
2
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
39%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.8
28
33
11
0
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-7
80%
49%
1-5
20%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
25
18
6
8
0
3
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.0
18
7
2
2
3
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
17
19
10
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
12
24
0
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.8
10
10
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 23.9
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
3
7
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.1
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 30.9
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
34
33
17
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
2-4
50%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
33
25
16
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
45%
2-6
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
31
37
20
4
7
1
2
0
6
0
4
2-5
40%
6-9
4-10
67%
43%
2-7
29%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
29
31
8
8
0
0
2
2
1
4
4
0-1
0%
4-9
6-10
44%
60%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
20
31
10
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
5-11
71%
50%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
21
13
5
4
1
0
0
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
18
14
7
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-3
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
13
10
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
11
21
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
10
2
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
3
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-1
100%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
8
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
1-2
50%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
7
8
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
6
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.