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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 11, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons38%102106
16Pelicans62%106111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
46
34
25
5
4
6
1
0
4
1
4
1-2
50%
6-13
4-9
46%
43%
4-10
40%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
42
27
28
10
2
0
1
0
3
5
5
2-7
29%
13-22
5-9
59%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.3
35
30
10
11
0
0
2
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
59%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
32
33
11
5
3
1
1
2
1
3
2
0-2
0%
4-12
4-9
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
25
28
2
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.6
33
15
20
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
7-14
2-5
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
29
18
8
2
2
1
0
3
2
1
1
6-8
75%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
12
11
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
7
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
3
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
8
0
1-2
46%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
5
0
0-1
47%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
5
0
1-1
47%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.2
43
29
11
14
4
1
1
2
1
6
8
3-4
75%
4-9
3-7
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
41
34
19
4
8
2
1
1
4
0
4
1-2
50%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
40
28
22
16
1
0
1
2
1
3
13
6-8
75%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
36
33
14
1
6
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
48%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
36
37
22
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
6-6
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
4-12
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.2
24
20
14
7
3
2
1
0
4
1
6
6-6
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
18
5
4
2
0
3
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-6
0-1
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
14
8
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
10
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.0
12
0
1-3
45%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
3
0
0-0
46%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 30.5
3
0
0-0
52%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.