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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 12, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets
104
12Trail Blazers
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
42
32
32
17
1
2
1
3
1
5
12
4-6
67%
14-21
5-10
67%
57%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
42
37
25
6
7
1
1
0
3
0
6
7-9
78%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
2-5
40%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
39
35
9
11
2
3
1
1
2
5
6
3-3
100%
3-10
2-4
30%
47%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
38
30
14
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-14
3-6
29%
54%
2-4
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
29
29
10
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 31.9
19
18
3
2
0
3
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
16
22
6
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
15
7
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
19
1
2-4
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
7
0
1-2
53%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
6
0
1-1
53%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
3
0
0-0
43%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
1
0
0-0
57%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.4
41
34
31
25
2
2
1
2
1
5
20
7-9
78%
12-22
9-18
55%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.0
38
33
15
6
6
0
1
2
4
2
4
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
2-6
33%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.7
36
30
16
10
1
0
0
2
1
4
6
2-3
67%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.2
35
32
18
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
2-8
25%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.4
34
33
8
0
6
0
1
1
2
0
0
5-5
100%
0-6
4-8
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.0
24
23
13
2
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
1-3
33%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 26.8
13
14
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.0
13
14
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
2-6
33%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 22.7
5
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 21.8
4
0
0-1
52%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 22.9
3
0
0-1
45%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.7
3
0
0-1
46%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.5
3
0
0-0
38%
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.3
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.