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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 15, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets
91
24Kings
106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.1
41
33
19
7
5
2
1
1
3
4
3
5-6
83%
7-13
4-8
54%
55%
0-2
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
33
40
25
3
3
1
2
0
3
1
2
6-7
86%
5-9
5-11
56%
51%
3-9
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
31
34
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
31
34
13
10
0
1
1
3
5
2
8
5-13
38%
4-7
6-10
57%
58%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
15
31
2
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
27
8
13
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
20
1
6
9
0
0
0
1
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-5
0-0
60%
59%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
20
18
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
15
19
4
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
5
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.7
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
16
1
2-3
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.4
5
0
0-1
53%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
42
36
19
2
8
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
6-9
5-11
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
39
22
26
5
4
4
1
1
4
1
4
5-6
83%
9-17
4-9
53%
44%
1-3
33%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.3
32
30
21
10
5
1
1
0
4
0
10
7-7
100%
7-14
7-15
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
23
23
9
5
0
0
0
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
23
29
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.2
30
16
8
7
0
0
0
1
0
0
7
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
24
29
11
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
4
4-6
67%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
13
1
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.5
7
23
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
5
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.9
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
7
0
1-1
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.