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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Lakers32%102100
14Hawks68%108114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.3
32
30
8
3
6
2
1
0
5
0
3
0-1
0%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-5
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
32
28
16
10
2
0
0
0
3
2
8
2-4
50%
7-9
6-12
78%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.4
28
21
21
9
0
0
0
1
0
4
5
5-6
83%
8-8
3-7
100%
52%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
28
31
6
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
25
29
2
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
0-3
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
33
29
23
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
5-7
71%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
27
22
18
6
3
3
1
0
2
2
4
6-6
100%
6-12
2-6
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.5
16
14
6
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
13
18
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
7
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.8
15
0
1-2
41%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.6
6
0
1-3
47%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
5
0
1-1
46%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
39
31
17
4
10
1
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
48%
2-3
67%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.8
38
33
11
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.8
33
33
18
9
2
4
2
1
2
3
6
4-5
80%
4-9
6-11
44%
52%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
33
34
19
11
5
0
1
1
2
5
6
1-1
100%
9-16
8-14
56%
55%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
28
28
13
6
3
1
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
22
23
5
2
8
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.8
17
8
8
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.7
17
22
9
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.4
13
9
14
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
9
0
1-1
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.3
5
0
1-1
45%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
5
0
0-1
49%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
4
0
0-0
43%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.6
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.