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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 16, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic
83
13Bulls
82
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.8
39
36
14
5
7
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
43%
2-4
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
37
37
23
8
4
0
1
0
1
1
7
5-6
83%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
37
30
10
11
1
1
1
1
1
1
10
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
34
33
8
2
5
0
2
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
44%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.0
32
29
14
11
2
2
1
0
1
2
9
2-4
50%
6-15
5-11
40%
43%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
20
18
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
16
20
4
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
15
15
2
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.8
6
13
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.7
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.8
7
0
1-2
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.5
4
0
0-1
37%
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.1
2
0
0-0
39%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
42
21
26
8
2
0
1
0
1
2
6
9-12
75%
7-14
3-7
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
33
32
13
8
4
2
1
0
0
1
7
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.1
32
31
6
13
3
0
1
0
1
1
12
0-0
-
3-10
7-14
30%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.3
28
24
4
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-7
2-4
14%
50%
0-4
0%
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.8
11
18
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.1
37
13
14
2
8
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
1-1
38%
42%
2-7
29%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.3
27
32
14
7
0
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
26
26
3
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-7
5-9
14%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.1
5
20
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
26
1
2-4
45%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.3
6
0
1-1
48%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
2
0
0-1
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.