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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 17, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Lakers
96
15Grizzlies
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
34
27
13
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
3-8
38%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.3
33
31
21
5
4
1
1
1
4
1
4
2-2
100%
8-17
4-9
47%
47%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.4
33
30
21
9
2
0
0
3
2
0
9
3-5
60%
9-12
6-12
75%
47%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
32
29
7
5
6
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.4
8
24
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
34
30
18
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
3-3
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
45%
3-6
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
30
16
4
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
20
24
5
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.5
18
15
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
3
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 33.8
13
0
1-1
41%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.6
5
0
1-2
47%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.0
5
0
1-1
46%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
48%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 39.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
35
33
18
16
5
2
1
0
1
6
10
4-4
100%
7-22
7-14
32%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 31.9
30
20
16
7
5
2
1
1
1
3
4
4-6
67%
6-11
3-6
55%
50%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
28
24
13
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.8
13
20
2
6
0
0
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
9
25
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.8
30
25
9
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
27
28
13
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
3-4
75%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
22
12
9
4
0
1
0
0
3
3
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.4
21
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
20
12
10
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
4
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
35
2
5-11
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.