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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings
107
11Hawks
124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
38
36
20
2
10
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
36
27
22
1
3
3
1
1
3
1
0
6-8
75%
8-13
4-10
62%
43%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.3
35
33
28
7
6
1
2
0
4
3
4
8-9
89%
10-20
8-16
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
34
28
10
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
41%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
20
26
4
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-1
0%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
25
24
12
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
20
12
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.2
15
24
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
9
9
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.9
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.5
11
0
1-2
47%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.8
36
34
28
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
50%
8-10
80%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
34
27
15
3
0
3
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
51%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.5
31
34
18
8
15
0
1
0
6
1
7
5-6
83%
5-9
5-10
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
31
33
25
10
5
1
1
4
4
3
7
1-2
50%
12-19
8-13
63%
56%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.9
29
33
14
8
4
1
2
1
3
3
5
3-4
75%
1-6
6-11
17%
53%
3-4
75%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
20
23
2
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.4
19
11
10
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
2-2
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.7
17
19
6
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.8
12
12
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
4
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.3
4
0
0-1
45%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
3
0
0-0
43%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.6
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.