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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
December 18, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pistons49%99107
21Celtics51%100106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
40.4
36.5
28
59%
4
14
1
2
0
4
1
3
5-6
83%
4-13
4-10
31%
43%
5-8
63%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.4
38.2
29.8
14
64%
16
1
0
1
2
3
8
8
0-0
-
7-11
5-9
64%
59%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.5
33.7
34.0
12
42%
8
2
1
1
1
3
3
5
2-5
40%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
33.4
35.1
20
52%
4
3
4
1
1
0
0
4
3-3
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
27.4
25.9
9
64%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
25.5
20.6
11
54%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
4-5
80%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
1-5
20%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
19.2
15.2
6
60%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
2-5
40%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.8
12.5
10.3
2
50%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.0
5.3
10.0
2
100%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
4.5
4.6
3
44%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.2
35.3
33.1
17
46%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
8-8
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
1-7
14%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.8
32.7
32.2
19
60%
8
4
1
1
0
2
3
5
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
52%
2-4
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
31.9
31.8
14
59%
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
29.9
31.5
13
50%
7
1
2
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.6
28.1
24.4
11
71%
7
1
1
0
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
21.1
18.3
4
67%
3
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
17.9
15.2
10
73%
3
0
0
0
1
4
1
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
15.5
16.0
10
73%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
10.6
10.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.8
10.3
11.4
2
100%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.7
6.6
12.0
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.6
2.2
0
0-0
67%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
1.8
0
0-1
47%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.