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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 19, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs
104
6Warriors
102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
35
30
21
10
3
1
2
0
1
1
9
4-7
57%
7-13
4-8
54%
55%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
34
21
20
5
2
3
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
6-10
2-4
60%
48%
2-7
29%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
32
24
9
3
6
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
30
19
11
3
1
2
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
45%
3-8
38%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
9
6
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
47%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
29
24
28
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-8
2-5
75%
44%
4-8
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
28
15
4
5
2
2
0
0
2
2
3
2-3
67%
1-7
2-4
14%
55%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
14
12
5
1
2
0
0
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
13
10
0
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
11
13
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
6
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
25
1
3-5
50%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
1
0
0-0
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
41
38
13
2
2
2
1
1
5
2
0
0-0
-
5-11
4-9
45%
46%
1-7
14%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
40
37
30
2
15
4
2
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
6-16
38%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
39
34
32
13
2
1
1
0
1
7
6
6-7
86%
13-22
7-13
59%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 29.1
32
26
8
18
2
2
1
3
2
2
16
2-2
100%
3-3
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.9
31
14
6
5
2
2
1
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.6
19
31
0
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
16
25
2
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26.4
8
14
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
0-0
-
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.8
8
10
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.5
5
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 29.1
3
0
0-1
48%
Nemanja Nedovic
G · 6'3" 192 · 22.5
3
0
0-0
42%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35.2
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.6
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.