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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 20, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets
81
5Pacers
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
33
35
14
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
2-6
33%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
0-1
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
33
35
12
3
2
3
1
0
5
0
3
5-6
83%
2-9
5-9
22%
48%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
31
33
19
12
2
1
1
5
3
3
9
1-3
33%
9-16
6-10
56%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
30
32
8
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 21.9
25
25
10
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-3
33%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
24
18
5
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
21
19
3
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
1-7
14%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
18
18
1
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
0-6
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 22.9
12
11
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.2
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
8
0
1-2
47%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
5
0
0-1
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
35
38
16
6
6
0
1
0
4
3
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
2-5
40%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
30
39
24
9
4
3
2
1
1
1
8
7-8
88%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
3-7
43%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.0
28
29
9
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
4
3-6
50%
3-8
5-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
26
32
12
7
4
3
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
6-12
75%
49%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.6
26
31
12
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
22
18
5
2
2
1
1
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.1
20
17
10
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
18
16
8
5
3
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
2-2
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.6
16
16
13
6
1
1
0
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
6
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
6
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.9
4
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.