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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder43%100113
3Spurs57%102100
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
38
35
17
5
3
2
1
1
3
0
5
3-3
100%
4-8
7-14
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
34
31
31
4
8
0
2
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
11-17
5-12
65%
45%
2-5
40%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
33
25
14
14
1
1
0
3
2
3
11
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
2-4
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
20
23
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.1
15
19
2
4
1
0
0
2
2
1
3
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.7
30
25
21
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
6-10
4-8
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
20
19
8
4
1
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.4
19
19
4
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
16
14
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
38%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
16
22
6
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
2-5
40%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.2
6
0
1-2
46%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
5
0
0-1
44%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.8
3
0
0-0
53%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
38
25
17
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
5-8
63%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
35
29
17
10
1
1
1
2
2
3
7
3-4
75%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
34
23
7
2
3
1
1
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
33
28
23
2
8
2
1
0
0
0
2
11-13
85%
6-14
6-12
43%
51%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
24
20
6
11
2
1
1
0
2
2
9
0-2
0%
3-9
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
29
27
14
5
5
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
27
18
11
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
51%
2-3
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
15
25
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-3
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
2
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
2
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
31
2
5-8
56%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
12
0
1-3
48%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.