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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
December 21, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks44%103108
12Suns56%105123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
37.3
35.2
19
49%
4
9
3
2
0
5
1
3
3-5
60%
8-15
6-13
53%
47%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.6
32.2
32.3
10
45%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
30.9
30.5
9
90%
3
6
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.5
30.0
33.4
21
53%
6
1
0
1
1
1
1
5
6-6
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
49%
1-6
17%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
10.8
20.2
6
75%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
53%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
28.7
19.6
19
81%
6
1
0
0
4
0
2
4
3-4
75%
8-10
4-7
80%
57%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.9
25.2
21.2
14
55%
1
4
0
1
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
16.1
17.7
8
43%
6
1
1
1
0
2
4
2
2-3
67%
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.2
13.8
13.7
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
7.0
9.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
4.9
4.3
0
0%
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
1.6
3.6
2
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
1.6
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.8
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.0
37.4
31.9
25
91%
4
6
1
2
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
50%
3-4
75%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
32.3
37.9
13
45%
6
5
2
2
0
2
3
3
3-3
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
51%
0-4
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.3
28.8
26.9
6
75%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.6
25.9
25.0
18
60%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
49%
4-6
67%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.6
25.0
27.5
16
52%
7
4
1
1
0
2
4
3
2-3
67%
4-11
2-5
36%
47%
2-3
67%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 27.9
28.4
23.1
22
87%
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
4-8
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.3
27.9
26.4
9
51%
6
1
2
1
0
4
1
5
1-2
50%
4-6
4-9
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.3
21.2
23.4
8
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.3
9.5
8.9
6
61%
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.5
1.2
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.3
1.2
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.3
1.2
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.5
2.0
0
0-0
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.