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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pistons
115
25Cavaliers
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.4
34
31
14
11
0
0
1
1
0
5
6
0-2
0%
7-10
5-9
70%
60%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.2
32
35
21
4
13
2
1
0
3
0
4
7-8
88%
4-6
4-9
67%
44%
2-5
40%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
31
31
11
11
1
0
1
0
3
4
7
1-2
50%
5-10
5-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.0
31
33
25
8
3
1
1
2
3
2
6
3-3
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
2-5
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.8
17
23
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.7
31
24
14
3
4
5
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-15
4-9
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
27
26
10
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
2-2
100%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
17
5
13
4
1
2
0
0
1
4
0
0-0
-
5-8
1-1
63%
48%
1-5
20%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.2
16
15
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-3
33%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.9
5
10
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.0
15
1
2-5
47%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
4
0
0-1
47%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
4
0
0-1
51%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.8
30
26
17
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
5-9
56%
6-10
4-9
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.8
29
34
21
3
7
1
1
0
4
2
1
4-4
100%
4-8
6-13
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.2
22
23
0
7
1
0
0
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
0-11
5-10
0%
53%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
20
21
6
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-6
17%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
14
21
7
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.3
27
19
10
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
20
29
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.2
19
27
2
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.8
16
7
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 25.9
14
11
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
2-8
25%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 23.9
14
6
13
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
6-7
1-2
86%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.2
8
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.4
6
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.0
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.