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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
December 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks41%104111
9Rockets59%107104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
36.0
35.3
18
44%
5
5
2
2
0
4
0
5
8-10
80%
2-13
6-13
15%
47%
2-3
67%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.5
35.2
31.7
31
71%
6
3
1
1
2
1
0
6
8-9
89%
10-15
6-12
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
32.6
30.0
15
63%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
49%
3-7
43%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
28.9
8.6
8
58%
7
0
3
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.6
25.3
31.7
4
50%
5
3
2
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.9
28.2
22.4
16
90%
4
4
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
2-3
67%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
22.8
16.9
11
79%
0
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
19.1
22.8
6
100%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
5-8
100%
57%
0-0
-
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
11.8
2.6
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
42%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
16.4
1
3-5
52%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.2
13.5
1
1-3
40%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
4.5
0
0-1
43%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
43.6
36.9
21
63%
5
2
1
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
56%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
40.8
34.0
29
67%
15
4
1
1
0
4
5
10
9-13
69%
10-16
7-12
63%
59%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
36.9
6.5
20
69%
2
2
1
0
0
5
0
2
7-10
70%
5-8
1-1
63%
50%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
35.0
25.6
3
25%
4
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-5
20%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
30.4
24.5
10
63%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
27.2
23.9
18
69%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
18.9
23.1
3
52%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
7.2
7.0
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
23.9
1
3-7
51%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
9.5
0
1-2
45%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
8.9
0
1-2
59%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.6
0
0-1
53%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
3.9
0
1-1
54%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.4
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.