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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Raptors
99
2Spurs
112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.7
39
35
23
4
9
1
2
0
1
1
3
9-9
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
36
37
13
7
3
1
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
4-12
6-14
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
33
24
23
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
7-10
2-5
70%
43%
3-6
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.6
29
33
7
8
0
0
1
2
2
2
6
1-2
50%
3-7
5-9
43%
56%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
27
31
10
9
2
0
0
3
1
3
6
0-1
0%
5-9
5-9
56%
50%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.0
19
27
0
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
39%
0-1
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
19
19
7
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 26.9
17
17
6
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.1
16
11
10
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
4-7
57%
3-3
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
37%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.5
4
0
0-1
40%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
4
0
0-1
45%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
34
29
26
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-7
71%
9-17
6-12
53%
52%
1-2
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
31
22
13
10
2
1
1
0
1
3
7
1-1
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
58%
2-5
40%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
28
31
9
12
4
0
1
4
0
3
9
1-2
50%
4-15
6-12
27%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
20
21
8
7
2
1
1
0
2
5
2
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
57%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.7
19
29
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
47%
0-5
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
28
27
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
57%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
25
21
18
5
2
2
1
0
3
3
2
9-9
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
53%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
24
26
14
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
14
21
7
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
10
8
4
5
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
7
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.