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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 23, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pelicans49%105113
24Kings51%106100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
43
31
21
11
1
1
1
0
2
4
7
9-10
90%
6-15
7-12
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
34
33
17
5
10
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
3-4
75%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
27
38
8
6
0
1
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
26
22
13
8
1
3
1
1
2
3
5
0-1
0%
5-6
3-5
83%
49%
1-2
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
21
30
17
2
0
0
1
0
3
2
0
3-4
75%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
2-4
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
36
22
25
6
12
3
1
0
2
0
6
11-12
92%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
21
7
6
1
3
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.6
14
9
6
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
6
14
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.0
5
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
16
0
2-4
42%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
2
0
0-0
52%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
39
33
11
5
2
2
1
0
6
2
3
7-8
88%
2-11
5-12
18%
46%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
35
37
21
5
5
3
1
0
4
3
2
2-3
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
50%
3-6
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
30
33
24
14
1
2
2
2
4
5
9
10-17
59%
7-15
8-16
47%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
27
27
0
3
2
0
1
3
2
1
2
0-2
0%
0-4
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
23
26
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
46%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
30
14
19
5
1
0
0
0
4
3
2
7-7
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
49%
2-6
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
24
21
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
13
7
9
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
13
14
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
6
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
17
0
2-4
45%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
2
0
0-0
44%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 26.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.