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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
December 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls43%9695
19Nets57%9878
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.8
34.0
30.8
10
51%
8
3
2
1
0
3
2
6
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.3
33.3
17.6
15
59%
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
2-6
2-3
33%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.3
32.6
32.5
13
60%
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.1
24.8
29.2
14
59%
6
0
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
6-11
6-12
55%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
20.3
11.9
6
60%
3
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.1
32.5
34.1
13
74%
2
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
28.1
27.8
20
63%
8
2
0
1
2
3
4
4
2-2
100%
9-15
5-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.1
23.6
28.9
4
33%
6
0
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-4
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.3
7.4
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marquis Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 20.8
1.7
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
1.7
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
18.4
0
3-6
48%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.5
33.8
28.7
12
47%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-2
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
30.5
32.7
18
77%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
20.3
28.3
2
50%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.6
19.2
15.6
6
38%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
47%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.3
18.9
25.0
17
74%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-4
1-3
100%
44%
3-7
43%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.3
26.1
23.4
7
26%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
5-6
83%
1-11
4-9
9%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.3
23.5
8.6
1
17%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.6
20.3
3.3
5
69%
13
0
2
0
0
1
6
7
3-6
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.2
17.6
23.7
6
31%
4
1
0
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-2
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.3
14.6
18.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
9.5
15.3
4
34%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
54%
0-0
-
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
2.9
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
2.9
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.7
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.