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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder64%103123
14Knicks36%9894
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.2
32
36
29
7
6
2
1
0
2
0
7
5-6
83%
6-10
7-13
60%
54%
4-6
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.1
29
33
14
13
10
1
2
1
2
1
12
3-4
75%
4-12
6-13
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
27
29
24
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
9-13
5-9
69%
55%
1-1
100%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
22
20
3
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.1
21
18
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.7
25
25
18
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
3-10
4-7
30%
54%
3-6
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
23
20
13
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
19
18
5
4
3
0
1
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.4
15
15
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.4
12
16
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
9
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
6
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2
0
0-0
55%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
38
35
20
6
3
1
1
0
2
0
6
1-3
33%
5-13
3-7
38%
43%
3-9
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.5
30
24
2
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 31.2
29
33
5
9
3
2
1
0
0
4
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
59%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 23.5
27
24
8
7
4
2
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.2
16
27
9
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
38
21
21
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
48%
2-7
29%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31.1
27
19
22
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0
2-4
50%
10-16
4-7
63%
51%
0-0
-
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
15
4
6
4
3
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-1
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 36.0
13
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 25.1
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Chris Smith
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.6
33
1
6-14
46%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 34.1
4
0
0-1
43%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 29.5
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.