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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 25, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets32%100111
2Spurs68%10698
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
42
27
21
14
1
1
1
3
0
5
9
3-4
75%
9-17
3-6
53%
49%
0-3
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
42
18
28
6
6
0
1
2
2
1
5
3-6
50%
8-13
2-5
62%
48%
3-3
100%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
40
39
21
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
5-9
60%
53%
5-9
56%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
35
36
15
20
3
0
1
2
5
4
16
1-4
25%
7-12
7-12
58%
56%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
34
19
13
2
8
1
1
2
1
0
2
2-4
50%
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
19
21
7
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
14
25
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-6
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
14
29
0
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
6
0
1-2
55%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
5
0
0-1
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
3
0
0-1
49%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
34
30
11
14
5
1
1
6
0
4
10
3-6
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
31
31
6
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-11
7-13
27%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
29
26
13
7
0
0
1
0
2
3
4
1-1
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
56%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
23
21
6
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
56%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
22
25
9
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
25
23
22
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
3-5
50%
52%
3-7
43%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
20
27
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
17
18
9
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
16
25
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
8
9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
6
8
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.3
6
9
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.