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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
December 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Grizzlies32%9692
7Rockets68%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.4
42.7
34.6
23
45%
17
5
0
1
0
3
8
9
7-12
58%
8-20
7-15
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
37.6
30.9
11
37%
4
6
2
1
1
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-10
4-9
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
25.4
7.6
9
64%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.8
23.1
17.9
5
43%
11
1
0
0
0
2
4
7
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
21.3
30.5
8
36%
0
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
27.8
24.7
12
68%
5
0
3
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
20.5
20.0
7
35%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
16.6
22.3
7
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
13.3
20.6
4
33%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
11.6
20.9
6
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.4
7.9
0
1-1
43%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
6.9
0
1-1
44%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
6.5
0
1-1
41%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
43.9
38.7
15
51%
11
5
1
1
0
2
0
11
5-6
83%
5-8
5-9
63%
56%
0-4
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
43.9
27.9
27
68%
6
5
0
1
1
2
1
5
22-25
88%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
37.3
24.8
18
58%
6
2
0
1
0
4
1
5
6-6
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
31.2
32.3
20
65%
5
2
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-3
0%
10-12
4-8
83%
53%
0-2
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.0
18.1
34.8
2
20%
6
0
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
7-12
20%
58%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
23.3
2.4
4
50%
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
16.1
22.6
6
75%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-4
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 28.9
14.9
20.8
6
43%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
11.4
20.1
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.7
0
0-1
53%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
4.7
0
1-1
58%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
4.3
0
0-1
44%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
1.9
0
0-0
44%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.