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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 26, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs49%104116
8Mavericks51%105107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
33
31
23
2
3
2
1
0
4
0
2
11-12
92%
6-18
7-13
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
32
31
21
13
3
0
1
2
3
2
11
7-8
88%
7-16
6-13
44%
48%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
28
27
7
8
2
2
1
1
2
1
7
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
56%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
23
22
12
6
1
0
1
1
2
2
4
8-11
73%
2-4
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
19
24
4
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
28
24
8
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
27
22
22
0
2
3
1
2
1
0
0
3-3
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
5-5
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
27
24
10
5
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
55%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
15
18
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
8
9
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
0
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
8
0
1-2
47%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.0
4
0
1-1
48%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
41
35
23
3
6
3
2
0
4
0
3
5-7
71%
9-16
6-13
56%
47%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.5
36
32
25
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.2
33
30
13
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
3-4
75%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.6
28
29
4
6
0
1
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-7
3-7
14%
50%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
23
11
14
11
3
1
1
1
1
7
4
2-3
67%
6-8
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.9
26
24
20
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
11-11
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
24
16
8
6
0
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
15
19
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.2
10
9
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
21
1
4-7
58%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
2
0
0-0
48%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.