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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
December 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons51%10492
24Magic49%103109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.3
31.2
33.4
21
55%
4
8
1
1
0
2
2
2
6-7
86%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.9
23.8
20.6
0
0%
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.4
23.1
31.6
10
36%
11
1
0
1
1
2
8
3
0-4
0%
5-12
6-9
42%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.1
22.5
32.0
5
18%
7
1
0
1
2
1
1
6
1-2
50%
2-11
6-12
18%
49%
0-2
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
21.0
30.7
6
30%
6
0
1
1
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
3-9
5-11
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.6
26.1
25.6
7
70%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.9
24.4
7.9
9
56%
6
1
0
0
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
21.2
9.7
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.0
19.9
10.4
18
67%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
7-10
2-4
70%
47%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.7
13.6
26.2
6
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
13.2
3.0
8
68%
5
1
1
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.3
15.5
0
1-2
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
34.4
34.0
16
63%
10
2
2
1
0
0
1
9
4-6
67%
6-8
5-10
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.2
34.1
32.0
20
59%
11
0
1
1
1
2
5
6
2-2
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
52%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.2
33.4
38.1
23
90%
3
2
1
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
7-9
6-11
78%
51%
2-2
100%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.0
30.7
32.6
14
45%
8
1
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-1
0%
7-15
6-13
47%
46%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 31.9
24.0
35.8
6
43%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
0-4
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.6
36.8
22.7
16
52%
5
11
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-8
63%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
20.6
11.6
2
17%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 30.9
8.4
4.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Doron Lamb
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.1
7.4
4.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 30.5
4.5
3.0
7
88%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
40%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
2.9
6.9
1
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.4
2.9
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
12.7
0
2-4
53%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 34.8
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.