Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	3	Heat	67%	106	103	98.1	105	97.2
	22	Kings	33%	100	108	102.9	105	94.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	43.7	33	66%	8	8	0	0	2	3	0	8	5-6	83%	8-14	57%	4-9	44%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	43.5	11	42%	4	10	3	0	1	4	1	3	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	35.3	18	56%	7	1	0	3	4	1	1	6	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	22.8	4	40%	3	2	1	0	0	5	0	3	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	19.1	9	90%	0	0	1	2	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	35.9	13	81%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	33.1	9	45%	6	1	1	0	3	5	0	6	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	17.7	4	29%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	13.9	2	20%	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	\| DND - Right knee tendinitis
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	\| DND - Sore back
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwyane Wade #3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	103	53%	35	23	9	5	16	0	4	31	16-21	76%	27-54	50%	11-32	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	43.7	33	66%	8	8	0	0	2	3	0	8	5-6	83%	8-14	57%	4-9	44%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	43.5	11	42%	4	10	3	0	1	4	1	3	2-4	50%	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	35.3	18	56%	7	1	0	3	4	1	1	6	2-2	100%	8-13	62%	0-2	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	22.8	4	40%	3	2	1	0	0	5	0	3	1-1	100%	0-1	0%	1-4	25%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	19.1	9	90%	0	0	1	2	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-4	75%

Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	35.9	13	81%	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	0	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-3	67%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	33.1	9	45%	6	1	1	0	3	5	0	6	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	17.7	4	29%	5	0	1	0	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	13.9	2	20%	2	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	\| DND - Right knee tendinitis
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	\| DND - Sore back
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwyane Wade #3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	103	53%	35	23	9	5	16	0	4	31	16-21	76%	27-54	50%	11-32	34%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 25	41.0	22	58%	7	11	1	0	3	3	1	6	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	3-7	43%
DeMarcus Cousins C · 6'11" 270 · 23	40.6	27	54%	17	5	2	0	5	5	6	11	7-10	70%	10-21	48%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 27	39.9	26	65%	3	1	1	1	5	2	1	2	3-3	100%	10-14	71%	1-5	20%
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 21	24.0	2	25%	5	1	0	0	3	1	0	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Jason Thompson F · 6'11" 250 · 27	21.3	10	83%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27	29.0	7	70%	5	1	1	0	1	2	0	5	4-4	100%	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 23	27.6	2	25%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 29	15.0	4	40%	4	1	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Quincy Acy F · 6'7" 240 · 23	14.7	8	100%	4	0	0	1	1	4	1	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jimmer Fredette G · 6'2" 195 · 25	12.0	0	0%	1	3	0	1	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Hamady Ndiaye C · 7'0" 235 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Carl Landry #24 · F · 6'9" 248 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	108	56%	51	23	5	4	22	0	10	41	21-25	84%	36-63	57%	5-20	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.06 53.1%

SAC

1.11 55.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

15

26

58%

SAC

24

35

69%

Midrange

MIA

12

28

43%

SAC

12

28

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

32

34%

52%

SAC

5

7.5

20

25%

38%

Free Throws

MIA

16

21

76%

SAC

21

25

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	33	66%	16.5 / 25
C. Bosh	18	56%	9.0 / 16
N. Cole	13	81%	6.5 / 8
M. Chalmers	11	42%	5.5 / 13
S. Battier	9	90%	4.5 / 5
M. Beasley	9	45%	4.5 / 10
R. Mason Jr.	4	40%	2.0 / 5
U. Haslem	4	29%	2.0 / 7
R. Lewis	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Cousins	27	54%	13.5 / 25
R. Gay	26	65%	13.0 / 20
I. Thomas	22	58%	11.0 / 19
J. Thompson	10	83%	5.0 / 6
Q. Acy	8	100%	4.0 / 4
M. Thornton	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Outlaw	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. McLemore	2	25%	1.0 / 4
D. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Fredette	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 110.7 17 106.2	MIA 98.1 SAC 102.9 +4.8
Pace	26 91.5 15 94.0	MIA 97.2 +3.1 SAC 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.8 14 15.5	MIA 14.8 −0.5 SAC 15.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.4% 23 48.4%	MIA 50.6% SAC 52.4% +1.8%
TO %	20 15.4% 26 15.5%	MIA 15.1% −4.6% SAC 19.7%
ORB %	29 20.6% 4 27.9%	MIA 8.9% SAC 24.4% +15.5%
FTrt	9 30.0 3 33.1	MIA 24.4 SAC 30.1 +5.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.8% 29 51.1%	MIA 60.5% +4.4% SAC 56.1%
STL %	1 9.7% 24 7.6%	MIA 8.6% +3.8% SAC 4.8%
BLK %	11 8.1% 27 6.5%	MIA 7.9% +0.5% SAC 7.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.5% 20 52.0%	MIA 53.1% SAC 55.7% +2.6%
Rim FG%	1 66.7% 17 57.6%	MIA 57.7% SAC 68.6% +10.9%
Mid FG%	1 42.8% 18 39.3%	MIA 42.9% SAC 42.9%
3P %	12 36.4% 27 33.3%	MIA 34.4% +9.4% SAC 25.0%
FT %	15 76.0% 14 76.1%	MIA 76.2% SAC 84.0% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.3% 11 36.7%	MIA 30.2% SAC 42.2% +11.9%
Mid Att. %	4 32.5% 24 41.5%	MIA 32.6% −1.2% SAC 33.7%
3P Att. %	6 29.2% 28 21.8%	MIA 37.2% +13.1% SAC 24.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	105	105
Possession Minutes	25.9	26.8
Points	103	108
Rebounds	35	51
Assists	23	23
Steals	9	5
Blocks	5	4
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (3)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (1)	41 (2)
Field Goals	38-86	41-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	24-35
Midrange FG	12-28	12-28
2-Point FG	27-54	36-63
3-Point FG	11-32	5-20
Free Throws	16-21	21-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg