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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 27, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Heat
103
24Kings
108
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.0
44
36
33
8
8
0
2
0
2
0
8
5-6
83%
8-14
7-12
57%
58%
4-9
44%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
44
30
11
4
10
3
2
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
1-7
14%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.8
35
29
18
7
1
0
1
3
4
1
6
2-2
100%
8-13
5-10
62%
53%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.3
23
11
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.3
19
17
9
0
0
1
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
36
24
13
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
33
11
9
6
1
1
0
0
3
0
6
3-3
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-2
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.5
18
6
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
0-1
0%
2-7
1-1
29%
49%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.4
14
18
2
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
24
1
2-3
51%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.5
15
0
2-3
61%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.2
2
0
0-0
36%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 31.9
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
41
36
22
7
11
1
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
3-7
43%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
41
32
27
17
5
2
1
0
5
6
11
7-10
70%
10-21
7-15
48%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
40
34
26
3
1
1
1
1
5
1
2
3-3
100%
10-14
5-12
71%
45%
1-5
20%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
24
24
2
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
21
27
10
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
29
20
7
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-4
25%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
28
22
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
15
12
4
4
1
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
15
13
8
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
12
9
0
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
4
0
0-1
51%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
1
0
0-0
42%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 27.0
1
0
0-0
45%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.