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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
December 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pelicans28%10298
5Rockets72%110107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.6
38.3
35.9
22
66%
12
1
1
1
0
1
4
8
3-4
75%
5-7
4-9
71%
44%
3-8
38%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.8
37.8
30.7
18
60%
16
0
1
1
1
0
5
11
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.5
31.8
30.5
3
15%
3
9
0
1
1
4
0
3
1-2
50%
1-8
4-10
13%
45%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
29.9
27.4
12
60%
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
2-3
67%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
19.6
17.1
5
83%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
32.4
29.6
16
38%
4
9
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-16
5-11
31%
47%
2-5
40%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.8
14.8
16.0
10
56%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.4
12.4
6.6
8
80%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
2-2
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
11.7
14.0
2
33%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
6.4
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.6
5.0
16.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.1
6.1
0
1-1
43%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.8
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.1
42.2
28.9
24
88%
18
3
1
1
1
8
6
12
4-6
67%
10-11
6-10
91%
60%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.3
40.3
33.1
21
52%
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
6-7
86%
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
1-7
14%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
40.1
39.7
19
75%
7
4
2
1
0
0
1
6
6-6
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
57%
1-2
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
34.3
31.4
17
80%
8
2
0
1
3
0
1
7
5-6
83%
6-8
5-8
75%
55%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
34.1
28.6
10
39%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
51%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.0
20.1
18.8
9
51%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.5
12.7
17.0
7
48%
4
0
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-3
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.0
12.3
20.2
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-4
0%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
3.8
9.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
4.6
0
0-1
55%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
3.8
0
1-1
59%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.6
1.1
0
0-0
47%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.