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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
December 28, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets38%9699
15Grizzlies62%100120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
34.0
30.4
10
56%
6
2
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
5-9
5-10
56%
52%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
33.8
33.9
19
57%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-6
67%
3-8
4-7
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
33.3
34.4
20
63%
3
8
3
1
0
6
0
3
4-4
100%
8-13
4-9
62%
49%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
32.0
25.8
4
52%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
26.1
25.9
12
68%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
17.6
17.2
11
69%
2
0
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
13.7
11.8
11
76%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
12.8
7.4
3
32%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-3
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
11.1
17.9
4
86%
1
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
10.8
8.7
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
10.4
16.6
2
35%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
4.3
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
10.4
0
1-3
46%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.2
30.8
34.0
14
44%
6
4
2
2
0
2
3
3
3-4
75%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.5
30.6
37.7
20
60%
6
5
1
1
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
8-15
8-17
53%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.0
26.9
25.7
6
29%
5
2
1
2
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
3-9
4-8
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.8
25.9
20.2
9
43%
12
0
2
0
1
2
7
5
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 33.8
24.0
16.9
9
57%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 24.6
22.8
16.9
17
74%
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
5-8
63%
6-8
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.9
22.5
25.3
14
84%
7
6
1
1
1
0
3
4
3-3
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.9
21.3
20.2
11
92%
1
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
20.8
19.4
15
69%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-5
40%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 24.6
9.1
16.3
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
2.7
5.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jamaal Franklin
G · 6'5" 191 · 22.4
2.7
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.3
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.8
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.