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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 29, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings18%96104
2Spurs82%109112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
39
34
24
9
2
1
1
2
0
1
8
4-6
67%
10-18
5-12
56%
43%
0-2
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
37
34
29
14
3
1
2
1
0
5
9
7-9
78%
11-23
8-16
48%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.4
37
23
7
11
1
0
0
2
1
5
6
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
48%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 24.9
36
36
27
4
9
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
5-6
83%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
31
23
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
40%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
17
23
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
13
23
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.8
12
10
4
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
11
13
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.2
6
13
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
3
0
0-0
48%
Hamady Ndiaye
C · 7'0" 235 · 27.0
1
0
0-0
50%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
1
0
0-0
39%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
36
31
22
2
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
7-12
7-13
58%
53%
2-2
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
33
31
17
13
2
0
1
2
2
3
10
1-1
100%
8-17
6-13
47%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
29
27
5
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
58%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
27
22
11
8
1
0
1
1
0
3
5
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
57%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
16
22
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
2-4
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
30
25
28
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
53%
4-9
44%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
25
25
14
6
7
0
1
1
0
1
5
6-7
86%
4-8
4-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
21
23
7
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
12
17
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
11
3
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
0
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
8
0
1-2
51%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
5
0
0-0
52%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.