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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards48%100106
23Pistons52%10199
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.3
38
33
29
4
7
2
1
0
5
2
2
14-15
93%
6-11
6-12
55%
46%
1-4
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
36
26
15
11
4
6
1
0
1
3
8
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 20.5
29
24
13
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
28
26
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.1
22
28
6
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-3
67%
2-6
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.3
28
20
11
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.1
22
26
10
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-4
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.1
11
6
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 27.6
10
14
1
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 20.6
10
15
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-3
33%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.1
11
0
1-2
41%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.6
4
0
0-1
39%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.0
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.1
43
23
16
9
6
2
1
0
4
4
5
4-6
67%
6-17
4-9
35%
49%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 24.3
39
31
15
0
14
3
1
0
6
0
0
3-4
75%
3-8
4-9
38%
44%
2-8
25%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
38
25
22
10
2
1
1
0
1
4
6
8-12
67%
7-17
4-9
41%
51%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.9
35
19
17
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
4-5
1-3
80%
44%
3-6
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 20.4
32
27
16
16
0
2
1
1
2
7
9
2-4
50%
7-10
5-8
70%
60%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.7
26
23
11
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 37.3
12
9
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-2
0%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.0
9
20
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
3-7
-
47%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.1
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 24.9
3
18
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.7
14
0
3-5
46%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 26.8
11
0
1-3
51%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 29.3
7
0
1-1
46%
Peyton Siva
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.2
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.