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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks39%106100
9Timberwolves61%11098
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
40
36
9
3
10
2
2
1
3
0
3
3-3
100%
3-11
6-14
27%
47%
0-3
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
37
32
8
2
8
3
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.5
33
32
16
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-3
67%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
0-4
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.6
32
30
32
6
3
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
10-13
4-8
77%
50%
4-6
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
20
21
9
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
3-4
75%
3-3
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 36.9
24
23
6
5
5
3
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-4
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
18
14
14
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
58%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
17
17
0
6
1
0
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.7
13
15
6
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.2
6
11
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.8
3
0
0-1
42%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 28.9
2
0
0-0
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
2
0
0-0
44%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.8
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.0
42
33
18
10
1
1
1
1
1
3
7
6-6
100%
6-13
8-14
46%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.3
40
34
36
11
4
1
1
0
1
4
7
6-8
75%
12-17
5-11
71%
49%
2-7
29%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 30.9
36
27
19
3
1
0
1
1
3
2
1
6-7
86%
5-12
4-8
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 27.8
34
28
16
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
2-5
40%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.2
31
28
4
9
13
3
2
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
39%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.5
17
19
5
2
2
0
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
15
20
0
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
14
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.0
6
18
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.8
6
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.1
3
0
0-1
48%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 23.9
2
0
0-1
51%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.2
2
0
0-0
44%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.6
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.