Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Heat	63%	105	97	110.2	88	87.9
	19	Nuggets	37%	101	94	108.0	87	87.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	39.7	26	68%	6	10	0	1	4	0	1	5	5-8	63%	3-6	50%	5-9	56%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	37.5	10	50%	3	9	0	0	3	3	1	2	7-10	70%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	36.7	17	61%	5	0	2	1	2	3	1	4	1-4	25%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	21.8	6	100%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	18.3	12	67%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	30.6	13	72%	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	18.5	9	75%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	12.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	11.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	7.3	2	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	0.0	2	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	58%	31	23	7	4	13	0	5	26	18-28	64%	23-44	52%	11-23	48%

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5 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	39.7	26	68%	6	10	0	1	4	0	1	5	5-8	63%	3-6	50%	5-9	56%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	37.5	10	50%	3	9	0	0	3	3	1	2	7-10	70%	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	36.7	17	61%	5	0	2	1	2	3	1	4	1-4	25%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	21.8	6	100%	2	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	18.3	12	67%	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	6-8	75%	0-1	0%

Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 38	30.6	13	72%	7	2	0	0	1	1	1	6	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	2-4	50%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	18.5	9	75%	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	12.0	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	11.7	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	7.3	2	50%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	5.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 31	0.0	2	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Greg Oden #20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	58%	31	23	7	4	13	0	5	26	18-28	64%	23-44	52%	11-23	48%

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19 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	41.0	13	38%	6	2	1	0	1	3	1	5	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 26	39.6	26	72%	2	7	1	0	2	4	1	1	5-6	83%	3-7	43%	5-8	63%
JJ Hickson C · 6'9" 242 · 25	36.4	12	50%	11	3	2	0	2	3	4	7	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 24	21.9	8	50%	4	0	0	1	2	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G · 6'7" 220 · 23	10.3	3	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%

Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 30	33.5	11	79%	2	7	0	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 26	24.8	13	46%	4	2	1	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	5-13	38%	1-1	100%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 27	11.8	6	75%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	10.9	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 38	9.7	2	50%	2	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Anthony Randolph · 6'10" 225 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Quincy Miller F · 6'9" 210 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Evan Fournier G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari #8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	53%	37	23	6	2	13	0	8	29	10-11	91%	30-61	49%	8-20	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.15 57.7%

DEN

1.06 52.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

9

14

64%

DEN

21

29

72%

Midrange

MIA

14

30

47%

DEN

9

32

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

23

48%

72%

DEN

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIA

18

28

64%

DEN

10

11

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	26	68%	13.0 / 19
C. Bosh	17	61%	8.5 / 14
R. Allen	13	72%	6.5 / 9
D. Wade	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Chalmers	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Beasley	9	75%	4.5 / 6
S. Battier	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Lewis	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Anthony	2	-	0.0 / 0
N. Cole	0	-	0.0 / 3
U. Haslem	0	-	0.0 / 4
R. Mason Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	26	72%	13.0 / 18
W. Chandler	13	38%	6.5 / 17
D. Arthur	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Hickson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
R. Foye	11	79%	5.5 / 7
K. Faried	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Mozgov	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Miller	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Robinson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 110.7 15 106.3	MIA 110.2 +2.2 DEN 108.0
Pace	26 91.5 3 97.8	MIA 87.9 +0.8 DEN 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time	9 15.8 28 14.2	MIA 16.4 −0.1 DEN 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	1 55.4% 16 49.7%	MIA 59.0% +7.1% DEN 51.9%
TO %	20 15.4% 28 15.7%	MIA 14.1% −0.8% DEN 14.9%
ORB %	29 20.6% 5 27.5%	MIA 14.7% DEN 23.5% +8.8%
FTrt	9 30.0 7 30.6	MIA 41.8 +28.2 DEN 13.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.8% 15 58.4%	MIA 67.6% +7.1% DEN 60.5%
STL %	1 9.7% 20 7.6%	MIA 8.0% +1.1% DEN 6.9%
BLK %	11 8.1% 4 8.6%	MIA 6.6% +2.1% DEN 4.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	1 57.5% 17 52.2%	MIA 57.7% +4.9% DEN 52.8%
Rim FG%	1 66.7% 19 57.6%	MIA 64.3% DEN 72.4% +8.1%
Mid FG%	1 42.8% 28 36.2%	MIA 46.7% +18.6% DEN 28.1%
3P %	12 36.4% 15 35.8%	MIA 47.8% +7.8% DEN 40.0%
FT %	15 76.0% 27 72.6%	MIA 64.3% DEN 90.9% +26.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 38.3% 5 40.2%	MIA 20.9% DEN 35.8% +14.9%
Mid Att. %	4 32.5% 3 32.0%	MIA 44.8% DEN 39.5% −5.3%
3P Att. %	6 29.2% 12 27.8%	MIA 34.3% +9.6% DEN 24.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	MIA	DEN
Possessions	88	87
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	97	94
Rebounds	31	37
Assists	23	23
Steals	7	6
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (4)	8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	29 (1)
Field Goals	34-67	38-81
At-the-Rim FG	9-14	21-29
Midrange FG	14-30	9-32
2-Point FG	23-44	30-61
3-Point FG	11-23	8-20
Free Throws	18-28	10-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg