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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 30, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Heat63%10597
17Nuggets37%10194
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.0
40
37
26
6
10
0
2
1
4
1
5
5-8
63%
3-6
7-12
50%
57%
5-9
56%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.6
38
34
10
3
9
0
2
0
3
1
2
7-10
70%
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.8
37
33
17
5
0
2
1
1
2
1
4
1-4
25%
8-12
6-12
67%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.3
22
17
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.0
18
34
12
2
2
1
2
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-8
8-15
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.4
31
19
13
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
19
22
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
12
27
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
12
14
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.4
7
16
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.3
6
10
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.2
2
0
0-0
40%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 25.9
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
41
33
13
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
49%
1-6
17%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.2
40
33
26
2
7
1
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
3-7
5-9
43%
49%
5-8
63%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.3
36
31
12
11
3
2
1
0
2
4
7
2-2
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.1
22
10
8
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
10
26
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.3
34
12
11
2
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
41%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.8
25
8
13
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-13
1-2
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.5
12
28
6
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.6
11
17
0
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 37.8
10
15
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.5
14
1
2-4
48%
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.1
9
0
1-3
48%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.2
4
0
0-1
47%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.