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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Tuesday
December 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hawks55%10292
22Celtics45%10191
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 28.9
39.2
34.5
34
68%
15
2
2
2
2
4
5
10
10-14
71%
12-18
5-10
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 32.8
38.9
35.2
14
57%
3
5
1
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 25.6
33.3
34.3
16
43%
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 25.5
28.0
15.4
8
33%
7
1
0
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 34.8
12.2
12.9
4
69%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 23.7
23.3
22.9
5
25%
5
5
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
22.5
14.6
5
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.2
15.8
29.1
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.1
14.0
2.4
6
75%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
2-4
50%
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 28.8
6.9
5.9
0
0%
7
1
0
0
0
0
7
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 20.3
6.0
6.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.4
14.3
1
1-2
50%
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 22.6
0.8
0
0-0
45%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 25.2
32.9
31.4
8
26%
6
5
0
1
0
3
3
3
1-1
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
1-7
14%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
31.4
34.8
8
34%
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-7
5-11
29%
48%
0-3
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
23.6
31.1
9
52%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
5-6
83%
2-6
4-9
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
21.2
32.9
8
40%
5
1
2
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.8
19.9
28.4
2
17%
10
3
0
1
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-6
5-10
17%
51%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
28.1
16.9
18
61%
10
1
0
0
0
0
0
10
4-4
100%
7-13
2-5
54%
49%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.7
24.4
14.0
21
88%
4
5
1
0
2
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
48%
3-5
60%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
23.0
16.1
11
79%
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
22.2
11.2
6
60%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
13.3
12.3
0
0%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
4.6
0
0-1
51%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 24.9
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.6
2.2
0
0-0
67%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.