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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Cavaliers17%9176
4Pacers83%10491
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 22.8
37
31
7
13
0
0
1
0
2
4
9
1-4
25%
3-11
4-10
27%
45%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.8
35
36
10
5
5
2
1
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-7
6-14
43%
45%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 26.0
34
16
7
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
41%
1-5
20%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.3
30
29
14
11
2
1
1
1
1
6
5
4-6
67%
5-13
3-6
38%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 26.8
15
16
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.1
35
32
12
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
42%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.2
25
28
8
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.0
16
15
7
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 20.8
11
11
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
39%
0-0
-
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.6
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.3
11
0
1-1
42%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.2
4
0
0-0
40%
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.4
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 26.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
38
33
21
8
2
0
2
0
3
1
7
5-6
83%
5-8
5-9
63%
51%
2-11
18%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
35
30
19
2
1
1
0
5
2
2
0
3-4
75%
8-13
5-9
62%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
35
30
13
6
2
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
3-6
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
32
36
6
4
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
5-8
75%
54%
0-3
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
28
28
8
4
3
0
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-10
36%
51%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
19
17
6
9
2
2
0
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
19
21
12
4
0
2
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
0-4
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
17
16
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
13
17
6
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
3
0
0-0
48%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
2
0
0-0
51%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.