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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 31, 2013
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets22%9692
2Spurs78%106113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 28.3
30
27
12
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 36.2
29
28
13
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 32.5
27
33
9
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
26
31
9
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
0-2
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 37.6
17
18
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 23.8
38
15
15
13
0
1
0
2
5
4
9
3-4
75%
6-11
2-3
55%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31.2
25
19
13
5
1
3
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
42%
1-4
25%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 28.3
25
19
15
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
7-13
2-4
54%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.9
11
12
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.2
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 36.3
5
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 33.6
14
1
1-2
44%
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.7
3
0
0-1
38%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 27.4
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 25.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.6
27
33
18
1
6
1
1
0
3
0
1
9-9
100%
3-6
7-14
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.5
27
28
6
6
1
2
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
24
31
15
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
7-11
7-13
64%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.0
19
24
12
3
2
0
1
0
2
2
1
6-6
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
17
19
10
6
3
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
21
6
4
8
2
0
0
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
21
15
12
2
3
0
1
1
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
52%
2-7
29%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.4
21
27
15
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
3-5
60%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.5
17
22
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.7
17
25
8
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
58%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.7
12
4
0
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
8
6
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
8
4
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-2
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.5
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.