Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Pacers	60%	98	82	89.1	92	98.9
	16	Raptors	40%	94	95	102.2	93	87.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George F · 6'8" 230 · 24	36.5	12	40%	8	3	1	1	6	5	0	8	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.3	8	44%	6	4	0	0	3	3	1	5	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 33	31.4	9	41%	7	2	1	0	2	2	1	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	31.1	6	50%	1	2	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	21.3	16	67%	3	0	0	1	4	6	2	1	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-0	-

Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31	22.6	11	69%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 27	21.6	5	83%	3	0	3	1	1	4	2	1	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	20.4	7	32%	4	1	1	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	16.9	8	57%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Orlando Johnson G · 6'5" 220 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Solomon Hill #9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	48%	36	16	8	3	22	0	7	29	13-20	65%	27-60	45%	5-14	36%

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2 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul George F · 6'8" 230 · 24	36.5	12	40%	8	3	1	1	6	5	0	8	2-2	100%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 23	34.3	8	44%	6	4	0	0	3	3	1	5	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 33	31.4	9	41%	7	2	1	0	2	2	1	6	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 28	31.1	6	50%	1	2	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 27	21.3	16	67%	3	0	0	1	4	6	2	1	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	0-0	-

Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31	22.6	11	69%	2	3	1	0	1	1	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Ian Mahinmi C · 6'11" 262 · 27	21.6	5	83%	3	0	3	1	1	4	2	1	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Luis Scola F · 6'9" 241 · 34	20.4	7	32%	4	1	1	0	2	2	1	3	1-2	50%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 30	16.9	8	57%	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	1.3	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Orlando Johnson G · 6'5" 220 · 25	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Donald Sloan G · 6'3" 205 · 26	1.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Solomon Hill #9 · F · 6'7" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	48%	36	16	8	3	22	0	7	29	13-20	65%	27-60	45%	5-14	36%

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16 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 24	39.1	26	48%	9	3	3	0	3	1	2	7	8-9	89%	9-23	39%	0-1	0%
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 23	38.2	18	64%	4	2	3	0	3	4	1	3	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 28	33.5	13	59%	4	14	2	1	1	3	0	4	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 27	32.3	6	60%	5	1	0	2	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	31.4	13	54%	9	2	1	1	1	4	4	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-0	-

John Salmons F · 6'6" 210 · 34	18.7	5	42%	0	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 25	16.4	3	38%	2	1	2	0	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 28	15.9	5	83%	6	0	1	0	2	2	1	5	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 27	14.4	6	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steve Novak F · 6'10" 225 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwight Buycks #13 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Julyan Stone #77 · G · 6'6" 200 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	39	27	12	4	17	0	10	29	20-23	87%	27-59	46%	7-19	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	IND	TOR

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.95 47.7%

TOR

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

16

27

59%

TOR

12

20

60%

Midrange

IND

11

33

33%

TOR

15

39

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

5

7.5

14

36%

54%

TOR

7

10.5

19

37%

55%

Free Throws

IND

13

20

65%

TOR

20

23

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Hibbert	16	67%	8.0 / 12
P. George	12	40%	6.0 / 15
D. Granger	11	69%	5.5 / 8
D. West	9	41%	4.5 / 11
L. Stephenson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Watson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
L. Scola	7	32%	3.5 / 11
G. Hill	6	50%	3.0 / 6
I. Mahinmi	5	83%	2.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	26	48%	13.0 / 27
T. Ross	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Lowry	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Valančiūnas	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
G. Vasquez	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. Salmons	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Hansbrough	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Patterson	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 104.5 10 108.7	IND 89.1 TOR 102.2 +13.0
Pace	21 92.2 23 92.0	IND 98.9 +11.9 TOR 87.0
Avg. Poss. Time	6 16.1 5 16.1	IND 14.6 −2.0 TOR 16.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	19 49.0% 15 49.8%	IND 46.6% TOR 48.1% +1.5%
TO %	27 15.6% 9 14.4%	IND 21.7% TOR 16.2% −5.5%
ORB %	22 24.9% 9 27.2%	IND 19.4% TOR 25.6% +6.2%
FTrt	13 29.0 6 30.6	IND 27.0 TOR 29.5 +2.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 56.0% 16 58.1%	IND 50.0% TOR 79.4% +29.4%
STL %	27 7.3% 25 7.6%	IND 8.7% TOR 12.9% +4.2%
BLK %	5 8.5% 22 6.9%	IND 5.1% TOR 6.7% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 52.0% 13 53.0%	IND 47.7% TOR 53.4% +5.7%
Rim FG%	23 56.4% 20 57.5%	IND 59.3% TOR 60.0% +0.7%
Mid FG%	6 41.0% 19 38.7%	IND 33.3% TOR 38.5% +5.2%
3P %	17 35.7% 9 37.2%	IND 35.7% TOR 36.8% +1.1%
FT %	7 77.9% 5 78.3%	IND 65.0% TOR 87.0% +22.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 33.3% 25 33.3%	IND 36.5% +10.8% TOR 25.6%
Mid Att. %	29 43.3% 16 38.2%	IND 44.6% −5.4% TOR 50.0%
3P Att. %	23 23.5% 11 28.5%	IND 18.9% TOR 24.4% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	TOR
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	22.3	25.7
Points	82	95
Rebounds	36	39
Assists	16	27
Steals	8	12
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	22 (1)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (7)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (2)	29 (3)
Field Goals	32-74	34-78
At-the-Rim FG	16-27	12-20
Midrange FG	11-33	15-39
2-Point FG	27-60	27-59
3-Point FG	5-14	7-19
Free Throws	13-20	20-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg