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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pacers60%9882
17Raptors40%9495
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
37
36
12
8
3
1
2
1
6
0
8
2-2
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
49%
0-3
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
34
34
8
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-1
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
31
28
9
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 27.7
31
32
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.1
21
32
16
3
0
0
0
1
4
2
1
4-5
80%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.7
23
20
11
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 27.2
22
15
5
3
0
3
0
1
1
2
1
1-4
25%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 33.7
20
18
7
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-10
3-6
30%
49%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.7
17
17
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
2-3
67%
Orlando Johnson
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 34.6
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 29.8
2
0
0-0
48%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
39
35
26
9
3
3
1
0
3
2
7
8-9
89%
9-23
6-13
39%
45%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 22.9
38
28
18
4
2
3
1
0
3
1
3
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
34
34
13
4
14
2
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
32
29
6
5
1
0
1
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
56%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
31
33
13
9
2
1
0
1
1
4
5
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
19
27
5
0
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
1-4
25%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.8
16
21
3
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
16
10
5
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
14
16
6
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
2-4
50%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.5
3
0
0-1
46%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
2
0
0-0
38%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
2
0
0-0
39%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.8
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.